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An Eternal Con

McCutcheon, Randall (2019) An Eternal Con. [Preprint]


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Cian Dorr considered the case of a fair coin that is tossed every day throughout an infinite past and an infinite future (an ``Eternal Coin''). Against intuition, he argued that, conditional on the Coin having landed {\it heads} throughout the past, one should believe, with full probability, that it will also land {\it heads} today. In this paper, we critique Dorr's arguments, as well as part of a reply by Myrvold.

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Item Type: Preprint
McCutcheon, Randallrmcctchn@memphis.edu0000-0002-5305-3662
Keywords: Eternal Coin, Reflection Principle, Countable Additivity, Conditional Probability
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Dr. Randall G. McCutcheon
Date Deposited: 24 Jul 2019 02:37
Last Modified: 24 Jul 2019 02:37
Item ID: 16254
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 23 July 2019

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