PhilSci Archive

Sleeping Beauty in Flatland

Franceschi, Paul (2004) Sleeping Beauty in Flatland. [Preprint]

WarningThere is a more recent version of this item available.

Download (86kB)


I describe in this paper a solution to the Sleeping Beauty problem. I begin with the consensual emerald case and I also discuss Bostrom's Incubator gedanken. I address then the Sleeping Beauty problem. I argue that the root cause of the flaw in the argument for 1/3 is an erroneous assimilation with a repeated experiment. Lastly, I present an informative variant of the original Sleeping Beauty experiment that casts light on the diagnosis of the fallacy in the argument for 1/3.

Export/Citation: EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL
Social Networking:
Share |

Item Type: Preprint
Franceschi, Paul
Keywords: Sleeping Beauty problem, probability theory, paradox, Nelson Goodman
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: Paul Franceschi
Date Deposited: 20 Jan 2004
Last Modified: 07 Oct 2010 15:12
Item ID: 1580
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: January 2004

Available Versions of this Item

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item