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The Grand Pessimistic Induction

Park, Seungbae (2018) The Grand Pessimistic Induction.


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After decades of intense debate over the old pessimistic induction (Laudan, 1977; Putnam, 1978), it has now become clear that it has at least the following four problems. First, it overlooks the fact that present theories are more successful than past theories. Second, it commits the fallacy of biased statistics. Third, it erroneously groups together past theories from different fields of science. Four, it misses the fact that some theoretical components of past theories were preserved. I argue that these four problems entitle us to construct what I call the grand pessimistic induction that since the old pessimistic induction has infinitely many hidden problems, the new pessimistic induction (Stanford, 2006) also has infinitely many hidden problems.

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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Park, Seungbae
Keywords: Grand Pessimistic Induction, New Pessimistic Induction, Old Pessimistic Induction
Subjects: General Issues > Realism/Anti-realism
Depositing User: Dr. Seungbae Park
Date Deposited: 23 Jan 2019 15:32
Last Modified: 23 Jan 2019 15:32
Item ID: 15639
Subjects: General Issues > Realism/Anti-realism
Date: 2018

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