PhilSci Archive

How to Build an Infinite Lottery Machine

Norton, John D. (2017) How to Build an Infinite Lottery Machine. [Preprint]

This is the latest version of this item.

[img]
Preview
Text
Infinite_Lottery_preprint_with correction.pdf

Download (2MB) | Preview

Abstract

An infinite lottery machine is used as a foil for testing the reach of inductive inference, since inferences concerning it require novel extensions of probability. Its use is defensible if there is some sense in which the lottery is physically possible, even if exotic physics is needed. I argue that exotic physics is needed and describe several proposals that fail and at least one that succeeds well enough.


Export/Citation: EndNote | BibTeX | Dublin Core | ASCII/Text Citation (Chicago) | HTML Citation | OpenURL
Social Networking:
Share |

Item Type: Preprint
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Norton, John D.jdnorton@pitt.edu
Additional Information: A correction, co-authored with Alexander R. Pruss, has been added in a separate file.
Keywords: chance nonmeasurable probability random super task
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Depositing User: John Norton
Date Deposited: 02 Feb 2018 19:14
Last Modified: 02 Feb 2018 19:14
Item ID: 14347
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
Specific Sciences > Physics
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
Date: 2017
URI: https://philsci-archive-dev.library.pitt.edu/id/eprint/14347

Available Versions of this Item

Monthly Views for the past 3 years

Monthly Downloads for the past 3 years

Plum Analytics

Actions (login required)

View Item View Item