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The Value of Weather Event Science for Pending Climate Policy Decisions

Donhauser, Justin (2017) The Value of Weather Event Science for Pending Climate Policy Decisions. Ethics, Policy, and Environment, 20 (3). pp. 263-278.

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Abstract

This essay furthers debate about the burgeoning science of Probabilistic Event Attribution (PEA) and its relevance to imminent climate policy decisions. It critically examines Allen Thompson and Friederike Otto’s recent arguments concerning the implications of PEA studies for how the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) policy framework should be revised during the 2016 ‘review and decision.’ I show that their contention that PEA studies cannot usefully inform decision-making about adaptation policies and strategies is misguided and argue that the current UNFCCC treaty, the “Paris Agreement,” supersedes their proposed revision.


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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Donhauser, Justin
Keywords: climate policy; climate science; counterfactual analysis
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology
General Issues > Causation
Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences
General Issues > Ethical Issues
General Issues > Explanation
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Society
Depositing User: Justin Donhauser
Date Deposited: 29 Sep 2017 14:45
Last Modified: 29 Sep 2017 18:16
Item ID: 13498
Journal or Publication Title: Ethics, Policy, and Environment
Official URL: https://doi.org/10.1080/21550085.2017.1374023
DOI or Unique Handle: https://doi.org/10.1080/21550085.2017.1374023
Subjects: Specific Sciences > Mathematics > Epistemology
General Issues > Causation
Specific Sciences > Earth Sciences
General Issues > Ethical Issues
General Issues > Explanation
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Science and Society
Date: 2017
Page Range: pp. 263-278
Volume: 20
Number: 3
URI: https://philsci-archive-dev.library.pitt.edu/id/eprint/13498

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