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Bayesian Confirmation: A Means With No End

Broessel, Peter and Huber, Franz (2014) Bayesian Confirmation: A Means With No End. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.

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Abstract

Any theory of confirmation must answer the following question: what is the purpose of its conception of confirmation for scientific inquiry? In this paper we argue that no Bayesian conception of confirmation can be used for its primary intended purpose, which we take to be saying how worthy of belief various hypotheses are. Then we consider a different use Bayesian confirmation might be put to, namely to determine the epistemic value of experimental outcomes, and thus to decide which experiments to carry out. Interestingly Bayesian confirmation theorists rule out that confirmation be used for this purpose. We conclude that Bayesian confirmation is a means with no end.


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Item Type: Published Article or Volume
Creators:
CreatorsEmailORCID
Broessel, Peter
Huber, Franzfranz.huber@utoronto.ca
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Theory Change
Depositing User: Unnamed user with email franz.huber@utoronto.ca
Date Deposited: 09 Jul 2014 14:13
Last Modified: 09 Jul 2014 14:13
Item ID: 10834
Journal or Publication Title: British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Publisher: OUP
Official URL: http://bjps.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2014/...
Subjects: General Issues > Confirmation/Induction
General Issues > Decision Theory
Specific Sciences > Probability/Statistics
General Issues > Theory Change
Date: 2014
URI: https://philsci-archive-dev.library.pitt.edu/id/eprint/10834

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